According to working process of terminal - sensitive projectile using capturing rule of detector , on the basis of vulnerability analysis to self - mechanized gun , a model of injuring target about terminal - sensitive projectile is established in this paper . and on the basis of it , using monte - carlo method , numerical simulating computation is done . according to result analysis , the maximum sensitive factor of terminal - sensitive projectile ' s performance is found , the scientific foundations supplied for determining structural parameter and performance parameter of terminal - sensitive projectile are provided 在此基础上，根据末敏弹工作过程和探测器采用的捕获准则，在对自行火炮进行易损分析基础上，建立了末敏弹毁伤目标模型，并在此基础上，采用了蒙特卡罗法进行大量的数值模拟计算，对结果进行分析，找出了影响末敏弹的最敏感因素，为末敏弹结构参数、性能参数的优化提供了依据。
