5 ) . the traffic volume forecasting is carried out on the background of a highway . it indicates that it is feasible using flexibility modulus method in forecasting trip production and generation , the convergence is quickly using fratar method in forecasting origin and destination table and it is convenience using multiroute method in forecasting assignment 经分析，在进行交通量发生吸引量预测时，采用弹性系数法较为可行；进行趋势交通量分布预测时，采用费雷特法进行分析计算收敛较快；进行交通量分配预测时，采用多路径交通分配比较可靠。
In this paper the theory and method of traffic prediction are studied . it includes the predictions of generating traffic , stimulating traffic , transferring traffic , trip distribution and traffic assignment . it holds that the prospective traffic is made up of the traffic increasing naturally , the future stimulating traffic and the transferring traffic 本文主要研究成果包括：研究了公路交通量生成量预测、诱增交通量预测、转移交通量预测、交通出行分布预测、交通量方式分担量预测和交通量分配预测的方法，认为公路远景交通量，主要由自然增长的趋势型交通量、项目建成后的诱增交通量、转移交通量等3部分组成。
5 centered about the principal factors which control the forming of the gas pools , analysed of trap " s effectivity , combined with the distribution of advantaged reservoirs and fractures , the author predicted effective reservoirs and the rich zones of gas , well site and the area of the future exploration are pointed out 5 、围绕气藏成藏主控因素，根据圈闭有效性分析、有利储层分布预测、裂缝发育带预测结果，结合地震、测井油气综合识别成果，预测有效储层及天然气富集区，提出的勘探部署建议井位和下一步勘探方向。
The research is one of the " 973 " national major fundamental research / development project of " formation , enrichment and distribution prediction of oil and gas in superimposed basin of china " . the good results show the numerical simulation method is dependable , which are coincide better with those by other methods in basin centre of petroleum university . based on the model of geology and optimal algorithm , the software for " recovery of geology history system " is developed 该项研究是国家重点基础研究发展规划973项目“中国典型叠合盆地油气形成富集与分布预测”中的课题“叠和型盆地数值模拟方法”中的一部分，对松辽地区、柴北缘地区的地层埋藏史进行恢复，得到的结果与石油大学盆地中心采用其他方法得到的结论吻合较好，进而说明了该数值模拟方法的可信性。
