Lastly , the scaling hypotheses is applied to the relationship of flood volume and duration in this paper . the flood intensity - duration - frequency form is proved based on the temporal scaling property of flood 最后，本文将标度不变性引入洪水洪量? ?历时关系中，对大流域年最大洪量随历时变化的标度性质行了尝试性的研究。
The scaling hypotheses is applied to the relationship of annual maximum rainfall intensity and duration . the rainfall intensity - duration - frequency form is proved based on the temporal scaling property of rainfall 由年最大平均暴雨强度随历时变化的标度性质推导出暴雨公式的形式，找到了暴雨公式的理论根基? ?暴雨在时间上分配具有自相似性的结果。
After a year of record mortgage foreclosures and slumping home prices , americans are more determined to shape up their flabby finances in 2008 than their bodies , according to a study released by countrywide bank on tuesday 美国全国银行于本周二公布的一项调查显示，在经历了今年的次贷危机和房价大跳水后，美国人2008年最大的新年愿望就是“财务健康” ，其次是“身体健康” 。
This thesis presents a probability method to forecast annual peak load based on the research of the divided load model , and a practical system has been successfully formed according to the actual circumstance of henan province 本文在分解模型的基础上，提出年最大负荷概率分析与预测方法，并根据河南省的地区特点，成功地研制出一套适合河南省的年最大负荷概率分析与预测系统。
Annual peak load is affected by multifarious factors , specially by local circumstance . at present , the methods of annual peak load forecasting are simple and low precision , and furthermore , none of these methods is considering of local circumstance 年最大负荷受多种因素影响，地区性特点强，目前的预测方法较为简单，分析精度不高，且没有针对地区特点的年最大负荷预测方法。
Firstly , those factors affecting on annual peak load are divided into two part including tendency and randomicity , based on which , the divided load model is improved . at the same time , this thesis present the nature random part of power load , in order to study the random part of power load more accurately 首先，本文将影响年最大负荷变化的因素分为趋势性与随机性两大类，从影响因素的角度改进年最大负荷的分解模型，细化随机分量的研究，提出年最大负荷的自然随机分量。
In this paper , consumption construction is explained by consuming features and constructional change inclination . in the last , the paper analyzes the common character of urban - rural residents " through spss software . all of the above result in the last part of the paper : occurred problem and solving ways 居民消费增长率的变化与收入增长率的变化存在一定的相关关系，并在变动方向上呈现出比较一致的趋势；消费增长率随收入增长率的波动而波动，并在1993年至1997年波动很大， 94年最大，达到26 . 59 ，这种波动说明了消费增长的不稳定性。
And used this standard ( large than ex + 3 x x ) to estimate the design sub stage maximum tidal levels using the frequency analysis . an improved method to deduce design tidal level process is put forward , using both designs maximum anneal tidal level and design maximum annual tidal range 探讨了不同参数估计方法下如何判别特大值，并用得到的判别标准(大于ex + 3 x )对修正后的分期最高潮位序列进行频率分析确定了分期设计最高潮位。提出了以设计年最高潮位和设计年最大潮差共同控制典型潮位过程放大的设计潮位过程推求方法，使设计潮位过程的推求更趋合理。
The model combines simulation method and optimization method to regional water supply and utility system , analyzing long series water supply and demand system with the object of the annual maximum water supply , counting water shortage capacity and its distributing probability , describing water shortage risk with risk character indexes . 4 . when the water shortage risk is calculated , the input and output macro - economic model of water resource is employed to evaluate economic losses due to water shortage 该模型综合模拟方法和优化方法的优点，在对区域供用水系统进行模拟的同时，采用年最大供水量为目标函数对水资源系统进行长系列的供需分析，然后统计区域水资源系统的缺水量及其概率分布，同时用水资源系统的风险性能指标对水资源短缺风险进行描述。
Secondly , based on the characteristic datum extracted from the datum of daily peak load , the probability model of the nature random part of power load is established ; the grey gm ( 1 , 1 ) model is improved to forecast the basis part of power load ; after the relation model is established on the basis of the researching the relationship between the climate part of power load and climate factors , the probability model of the climate part of power load is established combined with the tentative probability model of temperature 然后，在日最大负荷数据中提取自然随机分量的特征数据，建立其概率模型并实现参数估计；改进灰色gm ( 1 ， 1 )模型，完成年最大负荷中基础负荷分量预测；研究气候负荷与各气候因素的关系，建立合理的气候负荷与温度关系模型，结合假设温度概率模型，完成年最大负荷中气候负荷分量的概率模型建立。
