New developments in decision theory , artificial theory and dynamic analysis method are applied to evaluation the possible projects . the main contents in this paper are included as follows : first , has improved an format reasoning method based on multiple attribute utility model and knowledgebase theory ; second , has proposed complex utility model by improving the theory of multiple attribute utility ; third , has presented a kind of weapon intelligent decision support system , based on the complex utility model and developed with com / dcom criterion ; forth , this paper also has build the dynamic simulation model for long - rang multiple tube rocket launcher system , and the tire dynamic model has applied in the rocket launcher system dynamic simulation model ; fifth , through building the rocket - launcher contact model , this paper has analyzed the dynamic forces between the rocket and launcher ; finally , this paper has build the evaluation model of the project about improving existing rocket launcher to the launcher that using canister , and get the conclusion through using the widss . the studies in this paper not only proposed scientific warrant to the choice of projects in this pre - studied national defense task about improving existing rocket launcher to the launcher that using canister , but also can give other studied tasks with decision supported 主要内容包括:在总结决策分析与专家系统规则库技术的基础上,提出了融决策分析与专家系统规则库技术于一体的形式化推理机制,该机制能有效的将定量计算和定性知识融为一体,将规范的决策分析解题过程与专家系统特有的演化推理方法有机结合起来;在多属性效用理论的基础上,建立了一般形式的复式效用模型,并实用化了全相关乘式效用模型,提供了较完善的通用建模、分析和解释功能:引入了com dcom组件技术,开发了基于组件的widss系统,该系统基于形式化推理机制,易于扩展,能够面向多种决策问题,具有较强的通用性;建立了远程多管火箭炮全炮动力学仿真模型,将充气轮胎动力学模型、轮胎和路面的相互作用模型运用于多管火箭炮动力学仿真计算中;利用碰撞接触理论,对火箭弹在定向器管内的运动受力情况进行了仿真计算;建立了远程多管火箭炮箱式发射改进方案模型,并利用动力学仿真计算结果在widss系统中进行了方案性能评估。
This model is based on the multiple attribute utility theory , the artificial intelligence , the fuzzy set theory and the decision analysis theory . in order to build this model the concept and inductive method of objective utility is used as well as a comprehensive analysis method on determining the coefficients is introduced 该模型的建立以多属性效用理论、模糊集理论和决策分析的有关理论为依据,使用了目标效用的概念及其归纳方法、复式效用模型和一种较为新颖的权重系数综合分析方法,并综合了专家调查意见。
Paper outlines the current research status at home and abroad , as well as some relative theories . by presenting negotiation protocol and detailed describing of negotiation flow , based on multi - attribute utility theory and sequential decision making process , we establish a formalized negotiation model for multi - issue automated negotiation in e - commerce and add learning ability into our model 文章给出了国内外的研究现状以及相关的理论支持,通过对谈判协议的引入,对提议形式、谈判流程的详细描述,结合多属性效用理论和连续决策过程,提出了应用于电子商务多问题自动谈判的形式化模型。
The passage elaborates the history of china ’ s non - agriculture employment of rural labor force on the basis of research results of relevant literature . it analyses the driving force of non - agricultural employment using utility theory in microeconomics from two levels : theoretical and practical and does a comprehensive study on the status and effect of non - agricultural employment . from the angle of non - agricultural employment capacity , the passage does some quantitative analyses of non - agricultural employment in three levels : sources , channels and space , analyses the effect degree that all factors have on non - agricultural employment with the help of spss software , and devises more practical suggestions and policies 本文在相关文献研究成果的基础上,阐述中国农村劳动力非农就业的历史进程,运用西方经济学中的效用理论对其动因进行理论和实际两个层面的分析,较为全面的考察了中国农村劳动力非农就业的现状和产生的效果,从“非农就业能力”的角度,分别就非农就业的源头、渠道和空间三个层面进行定量分析,借助spss软件分析各因素对农村劳动力非农就业的影响程度,然后设计出更符合实际的政策建议。
Based on the modern management theory , some mathematical modelings are constructed by system engineering theory , rough set theory , gray system theory , avail theory and neural network theory in this dissertation . it can resolve some actual problems , for instance , forecasting machine amount , agricultural machine power and prices . certainly , the system can transfer , save , organize and analyze all kinds of information about agricultural mechanization equipment , and the result is very desirable 本文在现代管理理论的基础上,运用系统工程、粗糙集理论、灰色理论、效用理论、人工神经网络等方法,进行数学建模,对未来农机需求、农机总动力、农机价格等问题进行探讨,并应用到农机装备管理信息系统的各个方面,对农业机械的各种信息进行传输、存贮、组织和处理分析,最终取得了较为理想的结果。